Good afternoon, folks!
There are two tickers that I will pay special attention to this week.
IWM & DIA
These aren’t as popular as the S&P and the Nasdaq; however, these indices can be quite telling for the overall direction of the market.
Let’s look at IWM first.
Looking at this daily chart, there’s a couple of things going on here.
On Friday, IWM traded right into the daily supply zone from mid-September.
Supply and Demand zones are simply areas of interest where orders that were once unfilled may become filled again.
In September, IWM traded into this 188-189 area and led to a 5% sell-off in just two sessions. You can see that the bears didn’t stop there as they continued to sell throughout the remainder of September.
On Friday, IWM closed with a shooting star candlestick pattern.
Let’s take a look at the Dow Jones
A Similar setup here.
DIA closed Friday with a hanging man candlestick pattern.
The hanging man needs a gap down the following day which we got today on DIA.
DIA did rally intraday but only right into another supply zone.
Right now, DIA is trading above its all-time high trendline for the first time in 2022.
Be mindful of a false breakout here on DIA.
If DIA closes back below 330, then it presents quite a bearish landscape for Dow names.
Tomorrow morning we have more macro data coming in, PPI print.
A lot can change the current landscape between now and tomorrow’s opening bell.
If bulls step in and bid the market tomorrow with a close above today’s high on both IWM and DIA, then the short setup will be invalidated and bulls may retake momentum.
Enjoy your week this week!
–Dylan
(Head Analyst)